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When the people fear their government, there is tyranny.
When the government fears the people, there is liberty.
-- Thomas Jefferson

During times of universal deceit, telling the truth
becomes a revolutionary act.  -- George Orwell

First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they
fight you, then you win.  -- Mahatma Gandhi

Trump is now leading in the most important states of Florida and Ohio, tied in Iowa. In Pennsylvania Biden’s average lead is down to 1%, in NC down to 0.25%

Posted on | October 27, 2020 | No Comments

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Florida: Trump vs. Biden
Poll Date Sample MoE
Trump (R)
Biden (D)
 Spread
RCP Average 10/20 – 10/25 — — 48.2 47.8 Trump +0.4
Florida Atlantic University 10/24 – 10/25 937 LV 3.1 48 50 Biden +2
Susquehanna* 10/23 – 10/25 400 LV 4.9 48 44 Trump +4
CBS News/YouGov 10/20 – 10/23 1228 LV 3.6 48 50 Biden +2
St. Pete Polls 10/21 – 10/22 2527 LV 2.0 47 49 Biden +2
Rasmussen Reports 10/20 – 10/21 800 LV 3.5 50 46 Trump +4
Ohio: Trump vs. Biden  Trump leads in Ohio
Poll Date Sample MoE
Trump (R)
Biden (D)
 Spread
RCP Average 9/30 – 10/20 — — 46.8 46.2 Trump +0.6
FOX News* 10/17 – 10/20 1018 LV 3.0 48 45 Trump +3
Rasmussen Reports 10/18 – 10/19 800 LV 3.5 47 48 Biden +1
Quinnipiac 10/8 – 10/12 1160 LV 2.9 47 48 Biden +1
NY Times/Siena* 10/2 – 10/6 661 LV 4.3 44 45 Biden +1
Trafalgar Group (R)* 10/1 – 10/3 1035 LV 3.0 48 44 Trump +4
CBS News/YouGov 9/30 – 10/2 1114 LV 3.7 47 47 Tie
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Iowa: Trump vs. Biden vs. Jorgensen
Poll Date Sample MoE
Trump (R)
Biden (D)
Jorgensen (L)
 Spread
RCP Average 9/16 – 9/22 — — 45.5 45.5 2.0 Tie
Monmouth* 9/18 – 9/22 402 LV 4.9 49 46 2 Trump +3
NY Times/Siena* 9/16 – 9/21 501 LV 5.0 42 45 2 Biden +3

All Iowa: Trump vs. Biden vs. Jorgensen Polling Data

In the past week Biden’s lead in North Carolina has been 0.25%

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Poll Date Sample MoE
Biden (D)
Trump (R)
 Spread
Reuters/Ipsos 10/21 – 10/27 647 LV 4.0 49 48 Biden +1
CBS News/YouGov 10/20 – 10/23 1022 LV 4.1 51 47 Biden +4
Trafalgar Group (R)* 10/20 – 10/22 1098 LV 2.9 46 49 Trump +3
Rasmussen Reports 10/20 – 10/21 800 LV 3.5 48 49 Trump +1

 

In the past week Biden’s lead in Pennsylvania has been down to 1%
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden

Polling Data

Poll Date Sample MoE
Biden (D)
Trump (R)
 Spread
InsiderAdvantage* 10/25 – 10/25 400 LV 4.9 46 48 Trump +2
Trafalgar Group (R)* 10/24 – 10/25 1076 LV 2.9 48 48 Tie
Reuters/Ipsos 10/20 – 10/26 653 LV 4.0 50 45 Biden +5

In the past week Biden’s average lead in Arizona is only 1%

Arizona Polls: Trump vs. Biden
Poll Date Sample MoE
Biden (D)
Trump (R)
 Spread
OH Predictive Insights* 10/22 – 10/25 716 LV 3.7 49 46 Biden +3
Susquehanna* 10/19 – 10/22 500 LV 4.3 46 47 Trump +1
Nevada: Trump vs. Biden
Poll Date Sample MoE
Biden (D)
Trump (R)
 Spread
RCP Average 10/6 – 10/26 — — 48.3 43.7 Biden +4.6
NY Times/Siena* 10/23 – 10/26 809 LV 3.8 49 43 Biden +6
Las Vegas Review-Journal* 10/7 – 10/11 512 LV 4.4 44 42 Biden +2
CBS News/YouGov 10/6 – 10/9 1036 LV 4.1 52 46 Biden +6
Category: Uncategorized

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