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When the people fear their government, there is tyranny.
When the government fears the people, there is liberty.
-- Thomas Jefferson

During times of universal deceit, telling the truth
becomes a revolutionary act.  -- George Orwell

First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they
fight you, then you win.  -- Mahatma Gandhi

Republicans have a chance to win a senate seat in Maryland. In total GOP may flip up to 8 or 9 seats

Posted on | February 15, 2024 | No Comments

Maryland Senate – Hogan vs. Trone The Hill/Emerson
Hogan 42, Trone 42
Tie
Maryland Senate – Hogan vs. Alsobrooks The Hill/Emerson
Hogan 44, Alsobrooks 37
Hogan+7

Currently, Trump is leading Biden by 5-6% in polls including all party candidates. Such a wave can bring with it not only the presidency but also multiple senate flips. West Virginia GOP candidate, Justice, is leading by double digits. Ohio and Montana are strong GOP states and are highly likely to elect GOP senator and flip those seats. Arizona will have a 3-way race, where the former Democratic senator, Kirstine Sinema, will run as an independent. This will give a great opening for the GOP candidate, Kari Lake. Nevada, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania are swing states, where, if Trump wins, GOP senate candidates are likely to win too.  That gives the GOP 8 flips already. Maryland is a blue state, however, they elected a Republican Larry Hogan, to be their governor, and he is currently either leading or tied in his senate race. That gives the GOP 9 flips.

Further on,  in 2016 Trump came close to flipping Minnesota and New Hampshire. This will give an opening to GOP senate candidates in those states. This will give the GOP 11 flips.

Lastly,  in 2016 The Democratic Party candidate, Hillary Clinton of New York, carried Virginia with a 49.73% plurality in the popular vote against businessman Donald Trump of New York, who carried 44.41%, a victory margin of 5.32%. Clinton seemed to benefit from having former Virginia governor Tim Kaine on the ticket. If 2024 is more like 2016 and not 2020, the GOP will have an opening in Virginia. Additionally, the GOP now has an amazing candidate, Hung Cao, who is a Navy  Combat veteran, held high-level positions in the Navy, and has graduate degrees from MIT and Harvard. That gives 12 flips and a filibuster-proof majority.

While the GOP will likely not get all 12 flips, GOP is likely to get a large number of flips, which will give the GOP the Senate majority. The House seems to be more of an Achilles’ heel, where the GOP needs to put in a strong effort.

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