To beat Hillary, Trump needs to flip only 3 states, which Obama carried with a razor sharp margin in 2012
Posted on | May 4, 2016 | 5 Comments
To get to 270 electoral votes, Trump needs to flip only 3 states which Obama won to add to 206 electoral votes won by Romney to get to 270. Here are the numbers on 7 states where Obama and Romney were very close. Flipping just 3 or 4 of them will give Trump the presidency:
1 Florida. 29 ev (electoral votes). Obama won 50/49 where only about 70,000 people separated the candidates
2. Ohio 18 ev. 50/49 Also, about 100,000 people separated candidates
3. VA 13 ev 51/49
4. PA 20 ev 52/48
5. WI 10 ev 53/47
6. MI 16 ev 54/46
7. CO 9 ev 51/49
So, for example, Trump flips Florida, which is his second home and where he is greatly loved, and flips two rust belt depressed states, such as Ohio and Pennsylvania. We take 206 of Romey’s electoral votes and add 29 for FL, 18 for OH and 20 for PA, we get to 273, more than Trump needs to win the presidency. There are several such combinations. NV and CO are currently at play and GOP is looking to win senatorial races in those states as well. WI has a very strong GOP apparatus, MI has a GOP governor, who will help, as well as GOP governors of FL. OH, WI, NM .
Trump does not need to win all 50 states, he needs to flip only 3 or 4 states won by Obama to be the 45th US president
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5 Responses to “To beat Hillary, Trump needs to flip only 3 states, which Obama carried with a razor sharp margin in 2012”
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May 4th, 2016 @ 6:27 am
Trump fighting in the “rust belt” states will turn the tide. Trump should rename the rust belt now! It will be the “Trump belt” !!
May 4th, 2016 @ 2:47 pm
Good analysis, Judy.
I see Col. (with their promise to give Trump a 2nd look) going to Trump.
Pa., Fl., Mi., Wisconsin is (R)…Ohio is not going to vote for Hillary…and that leaves Va.!
I see this slanted view above.
Trump has the ability and the promise to us to solve the (REAL) issues we need to take care of…but Hillary only focuses upon pay scale for women, too???
which is not bad…but, Lordy, we need to take care of the (real, serious) issues, before anything else!
And who says that Trump wouldn’t be open to be of help to women, this way? Give him a chance!
And Trump is setting the bar very high for finishing this season before the convention! That means he has a lot of momentum!
While Hillary has been putting up with Bernie!
And he keeps soaking up the wins!
And Trump says that he would love to go against Bernie!!!!
May 4th, 2016 @ 7:04 pm
Roger Stone @RogerJStoneJr May 3
Mark my words- Juanita Broadderick’s name ID will be higher than @HillaryClinton’s by November #Trump2016
May 5th, 2016 @ 9:36 am
Geraldo on OUTNUMBERED: “Trump will be just fine though he may lose a few ‘Bushistas.'”
May 5th, 2016 @ 10:44 am
https://www.breitbart.com/london/2016/05/05/migrant-brutally-murders-woman-vienna-street/