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Ruling establishment runs out of excuses in trying to diminish Donald Trump and his message of a need to renegotiate free trade agreements which rob Americans of their jobs and wages and enrich our ruling oligarchy

Posted on | July 25, 2015 | 4 Comments

Ruling establishment runs out of excuses in trying to diminish Donald Trump and his message of a need to renegotiate free trade agreements which rob Americans of their jobs and wages and enrich our ruling oligarchy

By Dr. Orly Taitz, ESQ

Recently  Gravis marketing did a poll in NV, which showed that Trump is far ahead with 28% of the vote and has 31% of Hispanic vote in NV.

Establishment mouthpiece, Huffington post, has announced that  Gravis poll is not reputable, that Gravis does shoddy  polling and these results should be discarded. However, shortly thereafter YouGov.com /Economist ran a national poll, which showed the same results, Trump is far ahead with 28% of the voters placing him first and additional 10% placing him second. This shows great depth with potential 38% of the vote. Gravis polling was exonerated and establishment has an egg on it’s face.

Further, Bush pundit, former Bush White House official, Arie Fleish,  stated yesterday on Hannity show that Trump represents only 20% o the GOP voters who stand up to the establishment and this is his ceiling. Fleish claims that, as the field narrows, Trump will fall behind, however this does not seem to be correct. Let’s look at the table of the polling results below.

First, there are about 20% of undecided. A theory of a former Clinton campaign manager and a political consultant, Dick Morris, is that undecided typically vote for new candidates, not incumbents, as incumbents are well known and indecision means not lack of knowledge about the candidate but rather dissatisfaction with a well known candidate. When you look at the current political field, Clinton and Bush are de facto incumbents, expected to continue the policies of their respective dynasties, which incidentally are very similar to each other. If the public were to be content with these 2 de facto incumbents, they would have expressed that in the polls. However, the public is not satisfied and they are likely to vote for others. So, if you look at Trump’s current 28%where he is first + 10%, where he is currently second, and is likely to be first on a 2 person race, and majority of independents, he will get a nomination with close to 60% of the vote.

Now, let’s look at the numbers differently. When the field narrows, we can try to ascertain how will the voters and supporters of minor candidates behave. Let’s imagine that the field narrows to a hypothetical match up between Trump and Bush. We know that establishment voters, such as Rubio, Fiorina, Christie and Kasich voters will probably go to Bush.

On the other had, anti-establishment voters, who currently support Cruz, Paul, Huckabee, Carson, Santorum and a big chunk of Walker voters will support Trump, which collectively will give Trump more votes than what will be gained by Bush.

Further, a notion that if Trump runs as a third party candidate, it will mean a sure Clinton victory, is a flawed notion as well. Recently  polls show that among independent voters nation wide, Trump is tied with Clinton and slightly ahead of Bush. Trump might win either in a 2 way race or a 3 way race.

Trump has a great potential and it is up to you to tell the pundit not to make haste derisions.

 

 

Category: Uncategorized

Comments

4 Responses to “Ruling establishment runs out of excuses in trying to diminish Donald Trump and his message of a need to renegotiate free trade agreements which rob Americans of their jobs and wages and enrich our ruling oligarchy”

  1. Davey Crockett
    July 25th, 2015 @ 11:14 am

    Here’s the latest look at how The Trumper is doing:…

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/donald-trump-still-rocketing-polls-160042758.html

    Don’t cha just love it???? LOL! 🙂

  2. Sandy Beach
    July 25th, 2015 @ 11:32 am

    TRUMP LEADS NEVADA POLL WITH OVERWHELMING HISPANIC SUPPORT
    Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm headquartered in Florida, conducted the polling. The random survey of 1,276 registered voters in Nevada was conducted during July 12 and 13th. The sample includes 623 Republican Primary participants, 416 Democratic Primary participants, and 237 planning to vote in 2016, but will not participate in the primary elections. The overall poll has a margin of error of ± 3% with 4% for Republican Primary and 5% for Democratic Primary. The total may not add up to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using interactive voice response, IVR, technology and weighted separately for each population in the question presented. Gravis Marketing is the recipient of the 2013 American Association of Political Consultants award for 2012 Presidential Primary domestic and international phone calls.
    https://www.donaldjtrump.com/news/trump-leads-nevada-poll-with-overwhelming-hispanic-support

    July 16, 2015
    Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,276 registered voters in Nevada regarding potential matchups. The sample includes 623 Republican Primary participants, 416 Democratic Primary participants, and 237 planning to vote in 2016, but will not participate in the primary elections.
    https://www.oann.com/pollnevada/

    NOTE: The random survey of 1,276 registered voters in Nevada – NOT all voters.

  3. Judy
    July 25th, 2015 @ 1:19 pm

    levin talks wave after wave of illegal and legal taking Country down
    https://nation.foxnews.com/2015/07/25/levin-unbridled-immigration-legal-and-illegal-taking-country-down

  4. Veritas
    July 26th, 2015 @ 3:29 pm

    Obama’s new Republican apologist:
    —-

    Lindsey Graham:

    If you say that Obama‘s not born in America, that he’s actually born in Kenya, there are people who want to believe that…. ,,,

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