My reply to an article in the Hill claiming that Biden has a 75% chance to win. (Remember, they said that Hillary had a 99% chance to win and with a 13%-16% margin)
Posted on | June 18, 2020 | No Comments
New reply on The Hill
Orly you hit the nail on the head. The author clearly knows that he is mixing polls from near the election compared to four months out.
The are precious few current swing state polls and therefore the margin of error is very high. The left leaning pollsters are all running with 25% R weighting which seems unlikely. I am not saying that Biden doesn’t have a chance to win, but saying he has a 75% chance based upon current polls is excessive. You would be better off served at looking at Biden’s betting odds of winning at 51.6%. The simple fact is there is so much in play right now it is a crap shoot.
I really believe that the only real chance Biden has is to stay locked in his basement. If he starts campaigning or debating he will be toast as he has deteriorated mentally pretty dramatically. It is impressive that Dems and Progs hate Trump so bad they would prefer a President that is non compos mentis.
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3:31 p.m., Wednesday June 17
Orly Taitz: wrote:
This article is a piece of garbage.Typically, for months leading to the election predominantly far left pollsters are running bogus polls to demoralize conservative voters. Up to 2 weeks before the election in 2016 they predicted Hillary will win with 13-16% margin. Closer to the election they provided polls that were closer to reality, but still were wrong in most swing states. Republicans and conservatives should disregard the polls until the last 2 weeks. For the next 4 months the polls will be nothing but a psy-op to demoralize Trump supporters. The economy is coming back after the virus and after the leftist riots and looting, the country is coming back. The voters prefer Trump on economy which is the most important issue. Dems are shooting themselves in the foot in encouraging the riots, autonomous zones an calling to defund the police. All of this will only help Trump get reelected. Bogus pollsters will be wrong again, I believe Trump will win again against senile Biden, who can’t put two words together